"If electric cars attain a “cool factor” on a par with the iPhone, the global fleet could expand to 450 million by 2035, from about 1.2 million currently, according to BP Chief Economist Spencer Dale. Adoption of electric vehicles on this scale could take away another 5.2 million barrels per day of oil demand, according to the IEA."
Ils ont oublié le facteur 10 lié à l'approche TaaS (Transportation as a Service) Un robot taxi à batterie remplace 10 voitures fumantes. 52 Mbd au lieu de 5,2.
100 Voitures électriques = 1,15 baril de pétrole par jour d'éliminés. Mais 100 robotaxis électriques = 11,5 barils. x 10. 100 millions de robotaxis = 11,5 Mbd.
Mentionner le TaaS sans l'intégrer au calcul, c'est curieux...
"Probably the most noticeable shift in transport will be the electric car. This won’t just be about cars with batteries, but part of the wider trend led by companies including Uber Technologies Inc. and Lyft Inc. toward transportation as an on-demand service in driverless vehicles summoned from your smartphone, according to RethinkX, a think tank based in San Fransisco.
A move away from the current norm of individual ownership of traditional petroleum-powered vehicles toward the sharing of high-tech, possibly driverless cars would have far-reaching economic and social consequences, particularly because they’re being pushed hardest in the fastest-growing major economies. China’s latest auto industry plan sees all new vehicle growth coming from electrics. India plans to sell only electric cars by the end of the next decade."